Sarah Palin’s real enemy is the gutless Republican establishment that attacks her with ease and holds their fire on Obama. The Bush Machine is her real enemy.

Having listened to Newt Gingrich’s speech that he gave last night in Concord, North Carolina, he all but conceded that Romney is the nominee.

While he said that he will continue with the events that he has scheduled in North Carolina this week, I suspect that sometime next week he will suspend his campaign, while vowing to go to Tampa to fight for a conservative platform.

http://electad.com/video/newt-gingrich-election-night-rally-in-concord-north-carolina-april-24-2012/

Of course, I could be all wet on Gingrich’s intentions, but barring some unforeseen event that is my read from his speech. [1]

At some point Governor Palin will be asked for her thoughts on the state of the race.

I urge Governor Palin in the strongest terms not to come out for Romney at this juncture. I can not emphasize this point enough. Yes, say the numbers are the numbers. Yes, say the mission is to defeat Obama. However, Romney needs to show that he is prepared to earn the support of conservatives, and tea partiers. So far he has not done that.

Also, until Representative Paul concedes the nomination to Romney, she can point out that Paul has an important economic and fiscal message and that he needs to be heard on those points.

“The Black Swan” author Nassim Taleb Cheers Ron Paul’s Economic Platform on CNBC
 

Further, until Representative Paul concedes, the process will continue no matter what anyone else says.

I make this plea for a number of additional reasons:

- The nominee has yet to earn the trust of conservatives and libertarians. While Romney won all five races last night, the turn out was dreadful. There is absolutely no enthusiasm for his nomination. That needs to change and the obligation lies with Romney.

2008 Republican Presidential Vote
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/republican_vote_count.html

2012 Republican Presidential Vote
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/republican_vote_count.html

Side note: While Paul continues to draw good crowds, other than in Rhode Island, his candidacy did not present a significant challenge to that of Romney in the other four states that held Primaries last night and he received fewer votes in Pennsylvania this year then he did in 2008.

- Except Florida, Romney has not won any southern States.

- Speaker Gingrich has a number of important ideas that need to be included in the party platform as reflected in the speech that he gave last night.

- Perhaps most importantly, as Richard Viguerie has put it in this piece:

“First, don’t be Mitt Romney’s cheap date.”

The grassroots movement conservative voters who powered the Santorum campaign can not be taken for granted.  During the 2006 congressional elections some 4 million conservative voters stayed home, producing one of the greatest defeats for the Republican Party in the modern era.

As an aside, neither can Governor Palin’s supporters.

Some conservatives were quick to endorse Mitt Romney now that the nomination looks settled.  They got it exactly backwards – conservatives should not be rushing to embrace Romney; Romney should be rushing to embrace conservatives.
 
No one wants to stay home during this important election cycle, however, Mitt Romney has given little evidence he wants, and is willing to work for, conservative support.

If Mitt Romney wants the support of grassroots conservatives and Tea Partiers, the next six moves are up to him.

So far there’s no new sign that a Romney administration will result in the kind of fiscally sound, constitutionally conservative government that conservatives saw coming from the other candidates in the race.

In fact, during the campaign Mitt Romney sent every signal possible he wanted to get the nomination without owing conservatives or the Tea Party anything.

Before conservatives give their support to Mitt Romney we must see concrete action.  We must see that Romney will campaign as a conservative, govern as a conservative and that a Romney administration and a Romney White House will be dominated by conservatives – anything less means that even if conservatives support him and Romney is elected, we will have merely exchanged one set of Washington insiders for another in DC’s halls of power.
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7603-where-do-conservatives-go-now

Until the conditions outlined by Viguerie are satisfied, I would strong urge Governor Palin not to come out in support of Romney.

Mr. Viguerie has been writing a series entitled “Where Do Conservatives Go Now?” which people may want to read:

Parts 1- 3
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7603-where-do-conservatives-go-now

Parts 4 – 6
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7627-where-do-conservatives-go-now

Part 7
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7655-where-do-conservatives-go-now

Part 8
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7696-where-do-conservatives-go-now

Part 9
http://www.conservativehq.com/article/7713-where-do-conservatives-go-now

In making these comments, I have taken Governor Palin’s statement on October 5, 2011 at face value. Some believe that other actions may be afoot. Only time will tell.

While I appreciate that she will be heavily criticized for not urging Republicans to rally around the nominee if she takes the stance that I am suggesting, the reality is that:

- There is no enthusiasm for Romney’s campaign, as evidenced by the total vote count in 2012 compared to 2008;

- He is being even less transparent than Obama in not disclosing his bundlers;

- Other than Florida, where he grossly overspent Gingrich, while slamming him with misleading ads, Romney has not won a southern State; and,

- While a Romney Presidency would be better than an Obama second term, based on his actions to date, a Romney Presidency simply means we are replacing one group of insiders with another group of insiders.

The end result? Let us be honest. As matters stand today, while the election will be close, Obama will win.

P.S. I stand with Sarah Palin

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[1] Some will not will be happy with my views about what Gingrich said in his speech last night.

Here is the summary as posted over at electad.com:

Newt Gingrich Election Night Rally in Concord, North Carolina – April 24 2012

Newt Gingrich holds a rally at the Vintage Motor Club in Concord, North Carolina on the evening of primaries in five Northeastern states; Connecticut, Delaware, Rhode Island, New York and Pennsylvania.

Gingrich told his supporters that he was staying in the race “all the way to Tampa,” where the Republican National Convention will be held, so that he could get some key issues into the party platform, including Medicare, Social Security, and independent American energy.

He did not reference the primaries directly, instead using the speech to push some of his key policy ideas.

Newt Gingrich did acknowledge that he will need to consider whether to continue his campaign. “Governor Romney is going to have a very good night,” Gingrich said, going on to say that if Romney becomes the nominee, then every Republican needed to stand behind him.

I hate to write this, but despite all the effort that Gingrich put into Delaware over the last three weeks, he did not do very well.

The total vote count was down significantly from 2008.

Romney received almost the same amount of votes as he received in 2008 and that was more than twice the number of votes that Gingrich received, despite multiple visits to the State.

He did not come first or a close second. In his speech he made it quite clear that he is going to reassess where he is going with his campaign.